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Sunday afternoon I kept hearing a high pitched hum. Tracing the source, a large cluster of bees were clouding the air high up in my neighbor's tree. They eventually coalesced into a large swarm very high up in the tree. I noticed for the afternoon, 10-15 bees were exploring my bait hive. After making very sure the swarm wasn't mine, I continued to watch it. Now at 7 pm, it is getting dark and the scouts a gone from the bait hive. The large swarm is still up in the tree.
Tonight and tomorrow we are expected to have strong storms and up to 4 inches of rain in the next two days. After the front goes through, temps may be close to freezing. As a matter of curiosity, will the swarm move tonight before the storms start? If they haven't chosen a home, will they die without cover? And if it does get bad, what are the chances of they trying to take over one of my hives?

Would hate to see them all die.
 

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They will not fly after dark. They might try to take over a hive, but that is very seldom occurrence. They may or may not make it through the storm, it might depend on the storm and the temps. They may try to find a home in a break in the rain and wind tomorrow, hopefully.
 

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Last year had a swarm stay up in tree for 5 days of stormy/rainy/windy weather, I'm sure they would have preferred better surroundings. Weather then was 70-80 degree days and 50 degree nights.
 

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Last year a fully functioning colony was removed from a palm tree in savannah where they had been living for two years with their combs attached to the fronds, the bee keeper told the news guy it was the largest colony he had ever had to remove. They don't have to have to be in a cavity to survive.
 
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