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A Los Angeles beek on a facebook page just posted, "Swarm season delayed until temps get above 65 and not lower than 50."

I know swarming is a function of hive vigor which is a function of temperature, but I'd never heard it expressed so strictly numerically before.

Is this generally true?
 

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Swarm in January last year with about the same, 30s and night and low 50s during swarm.

Some say a hive will always swarm when the swarm/queen cell hits a certain point.

Others will say they will handle a virgin queen in the hive until conditions are right.

I think it mostly depends on what the condition of the hive is. If it's been warm and they have prepared to swarm during a cold front, they may swarm anyway, they may not. I don't think there is any specific "rule book" all the bees have to follow.
 

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Well, my hives don't read facebook posts or thermometers; especially the ones that have swarmed on snow days.

The events that lead to the decision to swarm began long before the 10 day weather forecast.
 
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