I got into a discussion with a guy about africanized honeybees moving northward and he thinks they will eventually. I agree that in time they will breed north and it will take a while for them to do so. However, I think their aggressive/defensive behavior will taper off the farther north they go. I also think that their high swarm rate will taper off as well.
My reasoning is that highly aggressive behavior causes such a big depletion in numbers (as does swarming often) that the hives that have these behavior characteristics will not have the numbers to survive the colder winters, or rather they are far less likely to. The name of the game is survival of the fittest. If highly defensive behavior is not necessary and is actually counter productive to feral survival then it will be bred out.
So my hypothesis is that they will become a lot less aggressive while perhaps staying quite a bit defensive as well as losing their frequent swarming characteristic.
thoughts?
My reasoning is that highly aggressive behavior causes such a big depletion in numbers (as does swarming often) that the hives that have these behavior characteristics will not have the numbers to survive the colder winters, or rather they are far less likely to. The name of the game is survival of the fittest. If highly defensive behavior is not necessary and is actually counter productive to feral survival then it will be bred out.
So my hypothesis is that they will become a lot less aggressive while perhaps staying quite a bit defensive as well as losing their frequent swarming characteristic.
thoughts?