On April 1st I hived 5 packages, each in a single 10 frame deep with drawn comb. 1 of the packages had a dead queen. After a bit of back and fourth with the supplier, I had a replacement queen on the 6th that I installed in that hive. When I was putting her cage in the box, I realized that hive didn't have many bees, I guess about 1/2 of the package was missing.
April 8th I opened each hive for a quick inspection and determined the hive that my bees had drifted too. No biggie, I swapped the hives to try and even out the drifting.
April 10th, I started seeing activity out side of a swam trap that is about 50' away from these 5 hives. It appeared to be robbing, bees were very frantic on the landing board, and walking up the face of the hive before flying off, but there was nothing in the trap for them to rob. Since then they have calmed down and and still in the trap at night, I'm assuming I've caught a swarm.
This weekend I will open all of my hives to see if any have swarmed and verify all have queens, same for my new swarm. What are the chances that this swarm is from one of my packages? Why would they swarm this early? What is going on?
I have no other hives at this location. if the swarm is not from my packages, they are feral bees.