This is my 3rd spring and I had 5 hives last year, one had a laying worker and so now I have 4 strong hives being overwintered.

My question is: How do I plan for spring bees? Do I assume they will all make it and count them in my total number of planned hives? or assume they will all die and purchase as many packages/nucs as I intend on keeping the next year? Or a combination of that and buy a few or half and hope they all make it or no less then half die? Make sense???? Hope someone can answer or at least get me closer to an answer. Thanks for your time and appreciate any positive input.

Sweet Maggie's Honey