I know a beekeeper who evaluates quite a few queens annually. With the commercial queen producer he uses, he finds that about 1 in 75 queens is a super great queen that stands out in quality over and above the average good queen.
These 1 in 75 queens are certainly ones we want to breed from, but they are uncommon and you have to test a lot of queens to find many. It is unknown what percentage of queens are culled by the queen producer before shipment, so these queens are likely much rarer than 1 in 75.
Last year I started raising queens (other than walkaway splits). I bred from my best overwintered hives. I would see sister queens in the same nuc yard that built up slowly, and some that exploded.
I raised about 30 queens. Of the 30, 10 didn't mate, or were so weak they got robbed out or I shook them out. Of the 20, most were similar quality, and I had a few boomers. I didn't keep track of what percent were really good ones. (This is not factoring in potential winter losses yet either.)
If the F1 parent generation produces super great queens 1 in 75, and you breed from the super great queens, what percent of the F2 generation will be super great queens when they are open mated? Or F3 or F4?
In theory, it 'should' be a better percentage - but do I need to have the mating area flooded with drones from super great queens also before I see noticeable benefits?
If you just have normal quality drones, does the occurrence of the super great queens become 1 in 150 until you get the quality of drones improved over the course of several years?



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But it is not as bad as it sounds.













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